Online Sporting activities Wagering Secrets: Knowing When NOT To Wager Sporting activities wagering can be very lucrative if you know the secrets the “wise money” bettors use to regularly earn money. Among the greatest secrets that wise money bettors use is knowing when NOT to wager.
Here is a perfect instance. I evaluated the West Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and wrapped up that West Virginia had the side in the video game. However, I also recognized that there were a great deal of arbitrary and unforeseeable factors, and suggested to my customers that they don’t bank on this video game. Here’s my evaluation I launched before the video game:
West Virginia vs. Louisville
This video game has all the indications of being among the best video games of the year, with both groups entering the video game 7-0. It is #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 placed Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with West Virginia returning from being down big in the fourth quarter to winning in overtime.
So what’s the video game appearance such as this year?
If this video game were being played at a neutral area, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the video game remains in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes good sense…
West Virginia gets on an unmatched roll. They have not shed since Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Technology. In the last 2 periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD video games.
These are some very outstanding statistics that turn the ranges for WVU for tonight’s video game. Plus, the included bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not appear such as a lot, but in a shut match-up such as this, that extra point could make the distinction in between a press and a loss.
But what about Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are almost just comparable to WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread out. In their last 10 video games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home video games.
And if you are leaning towards WVU, here is a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t already shed in your home since December 18, 2003! Throughout this present run Louisville is balancing 49.4 factors each video game in your home, while balancing just quiting 15.7 factors each video game in your home. In situation you didn’t do the mathematics, that means since their last home loss they’ve balanced beating their challengers by about 34 factors each video game.
What’s more outstanding, the average line in these video games has just been 21 factors. That means Louisville has ruined the spread out, typically, by 13 factors each video game in your home since 2003.
Wow… how can you go versus that?
Here is how…
Most of those statistics were developed throughout the 2005 period. This period, 2006, Louisville is better to great compared to great. They’ve had current video games where they’ve just racked up 28, 23, 24 factors. And these video games just weren’t versus Ohio St. or Michigan. They were versus Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The profits is that this is still a shut video game to call. But what I appearance for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 factors, after that there is no need to think WVU can’t hold them to the reduced to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is to give up this video game and not wager at all. There are better video games this weekend break with more precise benefits.
The last score of this video game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and enabled Lousiville to return a punt for a TD. The profits was that West Virginia’s side had not been so big that they could still win after production so many mistakes. By not banking on this video game, individuals major about sporting activities wagering conserved money they can put to better use on approaching video games.